leviramsey's Diaries
Print Story Huge Fun with Betting Exchanges (or: Thank You, Gary Megson)
Sport
By leviramsey (Sun Nov 25, 2007 at 05:09:08 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 351 contracts (avg price 19.5): buy price is now 18.2 => paper profit of $45.63
  • MAN UTD: short 236 contracts (avg price 31.6): buy price is now 36.0 => paper loss of $103.84
  • ARSENAL: long 79 contracts (avg price 23.3): sell price is now 32.2 => paper profit of $70.31
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price 0.6): UNPRICED => paper loss of $3.00
  • VILLA: long 212 contracts (avg price 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $4.24
  • BLACKBURN: long 230 contracts (avg price 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $4.60
  • LIVERPOOL: short 380 contracts (avg price 14.5): buy price is now 12.2 => paper profit of $87.40
  • MAN CITY: long 76 contracts (avg price 0.9): sell price is now 0.7 => paper loss of $1.52
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price 0.2): UNPRICED => paper loss of $1.52
  • PORTSMOUTH: long 81 contracts (avg price 0.2): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $0.81

Net paper profit: $85.33


(328 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Great Fun with Betting Exchanges
Sport
By leviramsey (Tue Nov 13, 2007 at 02:41:37 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 310 contracts (avg price 20.1): buy price is now 15.2 => paper profit of $151.90
  • MAN UTD: short 224 contracts (avg price 30.8): buy price is now 47.7 => paper loss of $378.56
  • ARSENAL: long 71 contracts (avg price 22.9): sell price is now 26.6 => paper profit of $26.27
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price 0.6): UNPRICED => paper loss of $3.00
  • VILLA: long 192 contracts (avg price 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $3.84
  • BLACKBURN: long 210 contracts (avg price 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $4.20
  • LIVERPOOL: short 310 contracts (avg price 15.8): buy price is now 9.1 => paper profit of $207.70
  • MAN CITY: long 67 contracts (avg price 0.8): sell price is now 0.7 => paper loss of $0.67
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price 0.2): UNPRICED => paper loss of $1.52
  • PORTSMOUTH: long 61 contracts (avg price 0.2): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $0.61

Net paper loss: $6.53


(1 comment, 806 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Gabby Gabby Gabby
Sport
By leviramsey (Sun Nov 11, 2007 at 04:58:42 AM EST) (all tags)

(1 comment, 13 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Fruitful? Fun with Betting Exchanges
Diary
By leviramsey (Mon Nov 05, 2007 at 06:56:07 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Internet connectivity was down for the beginning of last week, so I failed to post any trades. I did post a brief summary of my basic opinions as a comment to the previous entry.

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 284 contracts (avg price 20.0): buy price is now 22.3 => paper loss of $65.32
  • MAN UTD: short 211 contracts (avg price 30.1): buy price is now 42.8 => paper loss of $267.97
  • ARSENAL: long 64 contracts (avg price 22.5): sell price is now 25.6 => paper profit of $19.84
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price 0.6): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $2.50
  • VILLA: long 192 contracts (avg price 0.3): UNPRICED => paper loss of $4.42
  • BLACKBURN: long 191 contracts (avg price 0.3): sell price is now 0.2 => paper loss of $1.91
  • LIVERPOOL: short 254 contracts (avg price 17.6): buy price is now 8.1 => paper profit of $241.30
  • MAN CITY: long 57 contracts (avg price 0.8): sell price is now 0.7 => paper loss of $0.57
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price 0.2): UNPRICED => paper loss of $1.52
  • PORTSMOUTH: long 35 contracts (avg price 0.2): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $0.35

Net paper loss: $83.42


(3 comments, 1054 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Exciting Fun with Betting Exchanges
Sport
By leviramsey (Tue Oct 23, 2007 at 09:28:47 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

After an international break in which it was made clear that England's rugby team accomplishes more in 4 years than their football team does in 40, the Bank That Can't Even Beat the Scots, Belgians, and Spaniards Premier League has returned to action. And that means that the time has come again to trade some contracts on Betfair, including the opening of a new position.

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 237 contracts (avg price: 20.9): buy price is now 16.2 => paper profit of $111.39
  • MAN UTD: short 193 contracts (avg price: 29.0): buy price is now 42.4 => paper loss of $258.62
  • ARSENAL: long 53 contracts (avg price: 21.7): sell price is now 26.3 => paper profit of $24.38
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price: 0.6): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $2.00
  • VILLA: long 192 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $3.84
  • BLACKBURN: long 179 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is now 0.2 => paper loss of $1.79
  • LIVERPOOL: short 198 contracts (avg price: 18.9): buy price is now 13.6 => paper profit of $104.94
  • MAN CITY: long 45 contracts (avg price: 0.7): sell price is now 1.1 => paper profit of $1.80
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price: 0.2): UNPRICED => paper loss of $1.52

Net paper loss: $25.26


(5 comments, 909 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Delectable Fun with Betting Exchanges
Sport
By leviramsey (Mon Oct 08, 2007 at 03:35:05 AM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

I had a much more involved write-up, but closed the tab before hitting submit, so this one is somewhat abbreviated (and the prices may be slightly out-of-date; these are from yesterday at about 3pm EDT).

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 183 contracts (avg price 22.6): buy price is now 15.7 => paper profit of $126.27
  • MAN UTD: short 171 contracts (avg price 27.9): buy price is now 37.6 => paper loss of $165.87
  • ARSENAL: long 45 contracts (avg price 19.9): sell price is now 30.7 => paper profit of $48.60
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price: 0.6): sell price is now 0.2 => paper loss of $2.00
  • VILLA: long 159 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $3.18
  • BLACKBURN: long 146 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is now 0.1 => paper loss of $2.92
  • LIVERPOOL: short 138 contracts (avg price: 21.3): buy price is now 13.9 => paper profit of $102.12
  • MAN CITY: long 52 contracts (avg price: 0.8): sell price is now 1.1 => paper profit of $1.56
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price: 0.2): sell now UNPRICED => paper loss of $1.52

Net paper profit: $103.06


(1 comment, 856 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Colossal Fun with Betting Exchanges
Sport
By leviramsey (Tue Oct 02, 2007 at 03:09:36 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 127 contracts (avg price: 27.4): buy price is 12.2 => paper profit of $193.04
  • MAN UTD: short 147 contracts (avg price: 26.6): buy price is 36.8 => paper loss of $149.94
  • ARSENAL: long 33 contracts (avg price: 16.4): sell price is 28.9 => paper profit of $41.25
  • NEWCASTLE: long 50 contracts (avg price: 0.6): sell price is 0.2 => paper loss of $2.00
  • VILLA: long 123 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $2.46
  • BLACKBURN: long 110 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $2.20
  • LIVERPOOL: short 95 contracts (avg price: 21.9): buy price is 20.5 => paper profit of $13.30
  • MAN CITY: long 39 contracts (avg price: 0.6): sell price is 0.9 => paper profit of $1.17
  • WEST HAM: long 76 contracts (avg price: 0.2): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $0.76

Net paper profit: $91.40


(2 comments, 739 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Big Fun with Betting Exchanges
Diary
By leviramsey (Sun Sep 23, 2007 at 02:41:17 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 98 contracts (avg price: 27.4): buy price is 18.2 => paper profit of $90.16
  • MAN UTD: short 120 contracts (avg price: 24.9): buy price is 34.8 => paper loss of $97.02
  • ARSENAL: long 21 contracts (avg price: 11.4): sell price is 24.3 => paper profit of $27.09
  • NEWCASTLE: long 33 contracts (avg price: 0.5): sell price is 0.4 => paper loss of $0.33
  • VILLA: long 98 contracts (avg price: 0.2): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $0.98
  • BLACKBURN: long 77 contracts (avg price: 0.3): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $1.54
  • LIVERPOOL: short 46 contracts (avg price: 25.3): buy price is 19.3 => paper profit of $27.60
  • MAN CITY: long 22 contracts (avg price: 0.6): sell price is 0.5 => paper loss of $0.22
  • WEST HAM: long 43 contracts (avg price: 0.2): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $0.43

Net paper profit: $44.33


(8 comments, 924 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Additional Fun with Betting Exchanges
Sport
By leviramsey (Mon Sep 17, 2007 at 09:39:48 PM EST) football, soccer, betting, betfair, quant (all tags)

Positions in the "to win the Premier League" market from last time, along with current prices (buy prices rounded up, sell prices rounded down; prices quoted from Betfair on the 0-100 scale at $10 per contract)

  • CHELSEA: short 55 contracts (avg price 32.8): buy price is 27.4 => paper profit of $29.70
  • MAN UTD: short 78 contracts (avg price 23.2): buy price is 28.6 => paper loss of $42.12
  • ARSENAL: long 21 contracts (avg price 11.4): sell price is 16.6 => paper profit of $10.92
  • NEWCASTLE: long 33 contracts (avg price 0.5): sell price is 0.2 => paper loss of $0.99
  • VILLA: long 55 contracts (avg price 0.2): sell price is 0.1 => paper loss of $0.55
  • BLACKBURN: long 55 contracts (avg price 0.2): sell price is 0.2 => no change

Net paper loss: $3.04


(3 comments, 843 words in story) Full Story

Print Story Not my finest hour
Diary
By leviramsey (Fri Sep 07, 2007 at 12:25:38 AM EST) (all tags)

I had to give up on a kitten tonight.


(8 comments, 225 words in story) Full Story

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